The EURUSD pair managed to break a two-day losing streak, exhibiting a 0.20% increase, finding temporary support near 1.0880 and rallying beyond the 1.0900 level during the early European session. This upturn was primarily propelled by a weakened US Dollar (USD) despite disappointing Eurozone inflation data. As of now, the pair hovers around 1.0907, marking a 0.20% surge for the day.
The Eurozone's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), measuring inflation, has sparked speculations among investors that the European Central Bank (ECB) might consider initiating a deposit rate cut as early as April. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde cautioned against premature optimism, emphasizing persistently high wage pressures that pose a challenge despite the inflation concerns.
Analyzing the four-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair retains a bullish stance, maintaining a position above the crucial 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) while showing an upward trend. Nevertheless, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) positioned below the 50.0 midline suggests the possibility of further downward movement, warranting a cautious approach in the short term.
Notably, the immediate resistance levels for EUR/USD are identified near November 28's low at 1.0935 and a subsequent barrier at 1.0965 from November 21. A breakthrough above the latter could escalate the rally towards a key upside obstacle around the 1.1015–1.1025 zone, where the Bollinger Band intersects with November 29's high. Conversely, crucial support rests within the 1.0870–1.0880 range, coinciding with the 100-hour EMA and the lower boundary of the Bollinger Band. Further downside risks include levels at 1.0852, 1.0825, and 1.0755, derived from November's trading activity.
For Forex and crypto traders closely monitoring the EUR/USD pair, recent events portray a fluctuating landscape. The impact of Eurozone inflation concerns alongside the potential ECB rate cut has spurred volatility in this currency pair. Technical indicators suggesting a bullish trajectory, albeit with cautionary signs, prompt traders to assess potential resistance levels around 1.0935 and 1.0965. Conversely, key support rests within the 1.0870–1.0880 zone, indicating a pivotal range. Traders may anticipate volatile movements and consider these resistance and support levels as crucial markers influencing their Forex strategies amidst the evolving Eurozone economic landscape.