The US dollar faced broad depreciation following a careful assessment of the latest Federal Reserve meeting, with traders now anticipating four cuts in 2024, starting in May. This decline has been evident across various currency pairs, with EURUSD among those showing strength as they rebounded from crucial support levels.
Thursday witnessed a resurgence in the market as optimism prevailed ahead of crucial earnings reports scheduled post-market closure. Encouraging financial performances from tech giants META, Amazon, and Apple were instrumental in driving Nasdaq futures up by over 1%, contributing significantly to the overall positive market sentiment.
Adopting a measured stance akin to the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England (BOE) refrained from making firm commitments to market expectations of rate cuts. While keeping the interest rate steady at 5.25%, the BOE subtly signaled a potential shift with one Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member voting for a cut, marking the first such instance since January 2020. Governor Bailey, however, emphasized the current appropriateness of the interest rate levels and cautioned against expecting substantial drops in energy prices.
GBP/USD exhibited strength as the second-strongest FX major, forming a bullish outside day after finding support at its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Despite the choppy price action, there is an indication that the pair may target the 1.28 level. Meanwhile, the US dollar, weakened by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, is now under scrutiny for a potential cut in May, with markets implying a 60% chance.
In the Forex market, traders are closely monitoring events such as Australian home loans, producer prices, and the upcoming US nonfarm payrolls. The EUR/USD technical analysis reveals a bullish sentiment, with a notable engulfing candle forming around the 1.08 handle. The presence of a falling wedge on the daily chart suggests a potential target just above 1.11. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, seeking potential dips within Thursday's range and targeting handles at 1.09 and 1.10, while staying attuned to the evolving market dynamics.
For Forex and crypto traders, the news indicates a crucial juncture in the market dynamics. The anticipation of multiple rate cuts and the caution exercised by central banks like the BOE can significantly impact currency valuations. As EUR/USD shows signs of strength, Forex traders might find opportunities amid the evolving narrative. It is essential to monitor upcoming economic events, especially nonfarm payrolls, and stay informed about potential shifts in the Forex market, leveraging technical analysis and strategic entry points.